A war Nigeria didn't start is now inside the price of your next flight.
Before the US-Iran conflict, Jet A1 aviation fuel sold for ₦900-₦995 per litre at Nigerian airports. As of March 20, it's trading at ₦2,500-₦2,700 per litre. More than double in under a month. Fuel now accounts for 40-45% of airline operating costs. Airlines are absorbing the difference right now. They've said publicly they can't sustain it.
An aviation analyst projects airfares rising 20-25% in the coming days. Your Lagos-Abuja ticket, currently around ₦195,000, is heading toward ₦240,000-₦245,000. The Dangote Refinery has had to import crude because Nigeria can't produce enough domestically. Brent crude is at $112 per barrel. Nigeria's budget benchmark was $65-$69.
This is the specific texture of being Nigerian in 2026. A war you're not fighting, in a region you're not part of, between governments you can't influence, arrives as a line item in your travel budget. You didn't cause it. You can't stop it. You absorb it the way you've absorbed every other global shock that lands harder here because the naira has no cushion and the economy has no insulation.
You recalculate. You adjust. You go by road.
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