Arsenal beat Burnley 1-0 last night and they're five points clear with two games left. Tonight, Manchester City play Bournemouth away. What happens at the Vitality Stadium will determine whether the title race has a final day.

Kai Havertz headed in from a Bukayo Saka corner in the 37th minute. That was the game. Burnley had some moments in the second half. Havertz made a reckless challenge in the 65th minute that probably should have been a red card. VAR disagreed. Arsenal held.

They're five points clear now. They have Crystal Palace away on Sunday. City have Bournemouth tonight and Aston Villa on Sunday.

If City lose or draw tonight, Arsenal win the title. Not on Sunday. Tonight. They'd celebrate from their sofas watching the final score come in from Bournemouth, while Mikel Arteta is still preparing for a game he technically still needs to play.

If City win tonight, the title goes to the final day. Arsenal need to match whatever City get on Sunday. It'll be decided by two kicks of a ball 200 miles apart.

The Guardiola story sits underneath all of this. Multiple outlets confirmed on Monday that he's leaving at the end of the season. He won his 20th trophy at City on Saturday, an FA Cup against Chelsea at Wembley. The club put a parade through Manchester on Monday. They celebrated the League Cup and the FA Cup. Whatever happens in the next week, Guardiola leaves having won 20 trophies in ten years.

If Arsenal win the title tonight by virtue of a Bournemouth result, Guardiola exits without the one thing he came into this final stretch of his City tenure still chasing. He had the domestic cups. He needed the league. He may end his decade in Manchester without it.

There's a version of this story that is purely joyful. Arsenal haven't won the league since 2004. The "Invincibles" season. Twenty-two years. A generation of supporters watched Liverpool win it, Chelsea win it, City win it four times in five years. Arsenal kept arriving close enough to feel it. Never close enough to touch it.

Tonight's City result either extends the agony by one more week or ends it before Sunday even arrives.