THE COUNTRIES THAT REFUSED

Tuesday, 17 March 2026

India got its ships through Hormuz. Not with warships. With a phone call.

Here's the map that explains your fuel price.

When the US and Israel struck Iran on February 28 and Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz to enemy shipping, Donald Trump asked allies to send warships. Build a coalition. Escort tankers through.

Most said no.

The UK's Keir Starmer told reporters the UK would "not be drawn into the wider war." Greece said the same. France declined. Japan and South Korea — countries that import 95% and 70% of their oil through Hormuz respectively — have not committed troops.

India did something different. Prime Minister Modi called Iran's president directly. India returned 183 Iranian naval officers who had sheltered in Indian ports after the war began. Two Indian LPG tankers crossed the strait last Saturday — safely, with Iranian approval. India still has 22 more vessels stranded on the other side, and the talks continue.

Turkey got a ship through on the same logic — the transport minister called, got permission, the ship passed.

Iran's position has been consistent since March 5: the strait is closed to the US, Israel, and their Western allies. Countries that maintain a relationship with Tehran — and demonstrate it — can negotiate passage. It's not a policy. It's a toll.

The IEA says global oil supply has dropped by at least 10 million barrels per day. Brent crude was near $120 at one point this month and is still above $100. The emergency reserves release by the US — 400 million barrels — covers about 20 days of normal Hormuz flow. It's a band-aid.

For Nigeria, the mechanism is direct. Petrol is priced against crude. Crude is above $100. Dangote passes the cost to marketers. Marketers pass it to you. The war you didn't start, the strait you've never seen, is why your generator costs more to run tonight than it did last week.

The countries that chose diplomacy are buying energy again. The countries that chose alliance are waiting.

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Publishing Editor: Adeyemi EKO

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