Three signals from this week worth thinking about past Friday.

1. The forecast was right. Whether the response was is still unanswered.

NIHSA named 2,471 communities in Cross River state alone before the water reached them. NEMA told residents to move to higher ground and told local governments to pre-position relief. What the public record doesn't yet show is how many people actually moved. That gap between measurement and a confirmed outcome isn't a one-week story. It showed up in Mokwa, Niger state, in May, when residents recognised the same flood route from the year before and watched the water rise again, asking what had been done since the previous disaster. Whether this September's alert produces a different outcome is still unknown.

2. A police list with names missing from it.

Officers in Oyo, Akwa Ibom, Anambra and Cross River say they were left off a recent general promotion exercise, despite submitting the same paperwork as colleagues who were promoted. The complaint first surfaced in August and hasn't been resolved. Officers who submitted the right paperwork are still waiting for someone to explain why their names aren't on the list.

3. One refinery, sixty seven naira apart.

Dangote's gantry price moved twice in nine days. Lagos and Borno motorists still pay 67 naira apart for the same litre.