Three things from this week worth carrying into the Easter break
The first signal is energy. Nigeria raised the gas price for power companies on April 1. That price goes into a system the government owes ₦6.5 trillion and has paid barely 3.7 cents of every naira on. The lights aren't getting better from a price increase alone. They get better when the chain of obligations gets honoured. That hasn't happened. Watch your generator costs through April. Petrol is still above ₦1,280 at the pump, and nothing about this week's news suggests the pressure on household energy budgets is easing.
The second signal is the election machinery. INEC derecognised the ADC's national leadership within 24 hours of Kwankwaso joining the opposition coalition. The ADC is now formally in regulatory limbo. It can't hold primaries, can't register new members, can't build the infrastructure a national campaign needs. INEC says it's following a court order that existed for three weeks before it acted. The court order existed while INEC was still inviting the ADC to party meetings and monitoring its NEC sessions. Then Kwankwaso crossed. The next day, INEC remembered the order. The voter who was almost ready to try again in 2027 is watching this and doing the maths.
The third signal is the diaspora. Nigerian property burned in South Africa this week over a community coronation. The Nigerian government told its citizens abroad to maintain a low profile. That gap is not new. What Nigerians contribute abroad and what protection they receive from Abuja have never been proportionate. But this week it was stated plainly, in fire, and the answer from home was an advisory. Whatever you thought the Nigerian state owed its citizens in the diaspora, this week clarified the terms.
Easter is four days. The architecture doesn't rest.
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