DIPLOMACY WITHOUT WARSHIPS

Wednesday, 18 March 2026

The EU voted no. The countries that said no are buying oil again.

On Monday, EU foreign ministers formally rejected expanding the Aspides naval mission to the Strait of Hormuz. The bloc's foreign policy chief said there was "no appetite" for military involvement. Germany, France, Greece said no. Australia, Japan, Poland, Sweden, and Spain explicitly ruled out sending warships. Trump said "numerous countries" were on their way but declined to name any of them.

Meanwhile, the countries that chose a different strategy are moving oil.

India called Tehran directly. Prime Minister Modi's government returned 183 Iranian naval officers who had sheltered in Indian ports. Two Indian LPG tankers crossed the Strait on Saturday with Iranian approval. Turkey got a ship through the same way: a ministerial call, permission granted. Pakistan's tanker moved. Iran's position has been consistent since March 5 — the Strait is closed to the US, Israel, and their Western allies. Countries that maintain a working relationship with Tehran can negotiate passage.

The lesson is in the contrast, not the moralising. The countries most exposed to the Hormuz closure, the ones paying the highest price for it, chose not to join a war they weren't consulted on. And several of them found their way back to buying energy by talking rather than sailing warships in.

Brent crude is still above $100 per barrel. For Nigeria, that number is in your petrol price, your transport fare, and whatever the next Dangote Refinery adjustment says. The strait you've never seen is in your tank tonight.

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Publishing Editor: Adeyemi EKO

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